Global Economy
IMF's July WEO: AI Economies Pull Ahead as $89 Oil Squeezes Importers
The IMF's July 2026 World Economic Outlook Update kept global growth projections nearly unchanged at 3.0% for 2026 and 3.4% for 2027.
12 Jul
Global Economy
China's Growth Beat Expectations in Q1 — But the World Bank Says the Hard Part Is Still Ahead
China's economy grew 5.0% year-on-year in Q1 2026 (confirmed by China's National Bureau of Statistics), accelerating from 4.5% in Q4 2025, powered by high-tech investment and strong trade growth.
11 Jul
Global Economy
IMF Cuts Global Disinflation Hopes: Growth Holds at 3%, but Inflation Forecast Jumps to 4.7% for 2026
Global growth projected at 3.0% for 2026 and 3.4% for 2027 — broadly unchanged from the IMF's April forecast, but below the 3.5% average seen in 2024-25.
11 Jul
Global Economy
The Strait of Hormuz Shock: How a 10-Million-Barrel Supply Cut Is Reshaping the Global Growth Outlook
The World Bank describes the Strait of Hormuz disruption from the 2026 Iran war as the largest oil supply shock on record, with an initial cut of about 10 million barrels per day through a chokepoint carrying roughly 35% of global seaborne crude oil.
3 Jul
Global Economy
OPEC+ and the New Oil Order: Supply Strategy After the Hormuz Shock
Iran-linked conflict has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz since March 2026, disrupting roughly a fifth of global oil flows and sending Brent up as much as 65%.
2 Jul